Padres vs Pirates Prediction - MLB Picks 6/28/23

Pittsburgh Pirates (36-42) vs San Diego Padres (37-42)

Game Info: Wednesday, June 28, 2023 at 7:05 pm (PNC Park)

Mitch Keller (8-3) (3.45) vs Blake Snell (4-6) (3.22)

Betting Odds: Pittsburgh Pirates +140 / San Diego Padres -170 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The San Diego Padres will play the Pittsburgh Pirates in Game 2 of their series on Wednesday night at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. 

Padres Preview

The San Diego Padres are 37-42 this season and they have lost six of their last eight Games. Prior to losing the first Game in this series, San Diego lost two out of three Games to the Nationals. The San Diego pitching staff has a 3.76 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .235 opponent batting average this year. The Padres offense has scored 339 runs with a .233 batting average and a .323 on base percentage. Juan Soto is batting .270 with 14 home runs and 41 RBI’s for the Padres. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Blake Snell, who is 4-6 with a 3.22 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP over 81.0 innings pitched this season. 

Pirates Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 36-42 this season and they have lost 12 of their last 14 Games. Pittsburgh won the first Game in this series by a score of 9-4 on Tuesday night. The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 4.28 ERA, a 1.39 WHIP, and a .255 opponent batting average. The Pirates offense has scored 322 runs with a .239 batting average and a .317 on base percentage this season. Jack Suwinski is batting .217 with 16 home runs and 36 RBI’s for the Pirates. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Mitch Keller, who is 8-3 with a 3.45 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 99.0 innings pitched this year. 

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Trends

San Diego is 2-6 in their last 8 Games and 2-5 in their last 7 Wednesday Games. The under is 10-1 in San Diego’s last 11 Wednesday Games. Pittsburgh is 17-41 in their last 58 Game two’s of a series and 4-15 in their last 19 Games. The under is 7-3 in Pittsburgh’s last 10 Games. The over is 7-2-1 in these two teams last 10 head to head meetings in Pittsburgh. 

Pick

Both of these teams have really struggled over the last two weeks, but Pittsburgh was able to get the win in Game 1. San Diego is starting Blake Snell, who has allowed one earned run in his last five starts (31 IP). Pittsburgh is starting Mitch Keller, who has allowed 1, 4, 1, 5, and 4 earned runs in his last five starts. Snell has been great over his last few starts and I like the Padres here. 

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