Pirates vs Twins Prediction - MLB Picks 8/19/23

Minnesota Twins (64-59) vs Pittsburgh Pirates (54-68)

Game Info: Saturday, August 19, 2023 at 7:10 pm (Target Field)

Sonny Gray (6-5) (3.04) vs Mitch Keller (9-8) (4.27)

Betting Odds: Minnesota Twins -175 / Pittsburgh Pirates +145 --- Over/Under: 8.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Pittsburgh Pirates will play the Minnesota Twins in Game 2 of their series on Saturday night at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota. The Twins won the first Game in this series by a score of 5-1 on Friday night and they are currently in control of the AL Central standings. Pittsburgh has had an up and down season, and they are in the basement of the NL Central standings with the Cardinals. 

Pirates Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 54-68 this season and they have lost four of their last five Games. Pittsburgh came into this series after losing two out of three Games to the Mets. The Pirates offense continues to be an issue, as they have scored three runs or fewer in four of their last seven Games. The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 4.61 ERA, a 1.40 WHIP, and a .255 opponent batting average this year. The Pirates offense has scored 506 runs with a .235 batting average and a .313 on base percentage. Bryan Reynolds is batting .270 with 18 home runs and 60 RBI’s for the Pirates. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Mitch Keller, who is 9-8 with a 4.27 ERA and a 1.28 WHIP over 149.2 innings pitched this season. 

Twins Preview

The Minnesota Twins are 64-59 this season and they have won four of their last five Games. Prior to this series, Minnesota split a two Game series with the Tigers in Minnesota. The Twins are 35-25 at home this year and their offense has been solid over the last five Games. The Minnesota pitching staff has a 3.90 ERA, a 1.20 WHIP, and a .238 opponent batting average. The Twins offense has scored 545 runs with a .239 batting average and a .318 on base percentage this season. Carlos Correa is batting .230 with 15 home runs and 54 RBI’s for the Twins. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Sonny Gray, who is 6-5 with a 3.04 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP over 136.1 innings pitched this year. 

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Matchup/League Facts

The Pittsburgh Pirates ranks T5th in the league for triples this season (22).

The Pittsburgh Pirates ranks 6th in the league for walks this season (428).

The Minnesota Twins ranks 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1177).

The Minnesota Twins ranks 3rd in the league for walks allowed this season (333).

Pick

The Twins have picked up their play over the last month or so and they are starting to pull away with the AL Central. Minnesota is the only team above .500 in the AL Central, but credit to them for doing enough to have the lead. Minnesota is starting Sonny Gray, who has allowed four earned runs in his last three starts (19 IP). Pittsburgh is starting Mitch Keller, who has allowed three earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. Keller has had an eventful last few starts, allowing 1, 3, 8, 2, 6, and 8 earned runs. Sonny Gray has been dealing for the Twins this year and they are at home. Give me Minnesota -1.5 here. 

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